The sale of cycles in a shop in three consecutive months are given as 70, 68 and 82 units respectively.  Exponential smoothing method with a smoothing constant of 0.4 is used in forecasting.  Assume the forecast for the first month is 70 units. The expected number of sales (round off to the nearest whole number) in the 4th month is:   a. 66 units. b. 71 units. c. 76 units. d. 81 units.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 26P: The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel...
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The sale of cycles in a shop in three consecutive months are given as 70, 68 and 82 units respectively.  Exponential smoothing method with a smoothing constant of 0.4 is used in forecasting.  Assume the forecast for the first month is 70 units. The expected number of sales (round off to the nearest whole number) in the 4th
month is:
 
a. 66 units.
b. 71 units.
c. 76 units.
d. 81 units.
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