Using a weighted moving average with weights of 0.40 (June), 0.20 (May), and 0.40 (April), find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)   b. Using a simple three-month moving average, find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)   c. Using single exponential smoothing with α = 0.20 and a June forecast = 12, find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 26P: The file P13_26.xlsx contains the monthly number of airline tickets sold by the CareFree Travel...
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Historical demand for a product is:

    DEMAND

January 13

February 10

March 14

April 13

May 15

June 14

 

a. Using a weighted moving average with weights of 0.40 (June), 0.20 (May), and 0.40 (April), find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)

 

b. Using a simple three-month moving average, find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)

 

c. Using single exponential smoothing with α = 0.20 and a June forecast = 12, find the July forecast. (Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)

 

d. Using simple linear regression analysis, calculate the regression equation for the preceding demand data. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your intercept value to 1 decimal place and slope value to 2 decimal places.)

 

e. Using the regression equation in d, calculate the forecast for July. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)

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