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- If the number of competitors in Example 11.1 doubles, how does the optimal bid change?Suppose that $100 is invested at the beginning of a year. Which (if either) of the following methods of growing the investment results in a larger amount at the end of the year? (i) The investment grows at an interest rate of 4% per year, compounded continuously.(ii) The investment grows at an instantaneous growth rate of 4% per year. method (i) method (ii) Both methods produce the same amount.Consider the following profit matrix O Oz 02 0, 04 30 23 10 -3 a2 15 27 20 19 az 13 17 29 32 18 a4 31 21 13 No probabilities are known for the occurrence of the nature states. Compare the solutions obtained by each of the following criteria: а. Laplace b. Махіmin(Minimax) c. Savage d. Hurwitz (assume that a = 0.5)
- Suppose that Pizza King and Noble Greek stopadvertising but must determine the price they will chargefor each pizza sold. Pizza King believes that Noble Greek’sprice is a random variable D having the following massfunction: P(D $6) .25, P(D $8) .50, P(D $10) .25. If Pizza King charges a price p1 and NobleGreek charges a price p2, Pizza King will sell 10025( p2 p1) pizzas. It costs Pizza King $4 to make a pizza.Pizza King is considering charging $5, $6, $7, $8, or $9 fora pizza. Use each decision criterion of this section todetermine the price that Pizza King should charge.Consider a consumer that lives only for two periods. He works in period 1 (and gets income Y1) and moves up the corporate ladder in period 2 (and gets income Y1 < Y2). This consumer has the usual preferences over time: u(C1) + βu(C2) Assume once again that a consumer cannot borrow, but can borrow and immediately sell some MacGuffins, and in the next period, the consumer must buy back the MacGuffins to return to the lender. Assume that MacGuffin t r a d e s a t P1 > 0 in the first period and is expected to trade at P ̃2 in the second period. Write down the new budget constraint. Would a consumer borrow a MacGuffin? What is the condition on the P ̃2? Is P ̃2 a fair price of a MacGuffin? Could the consumer be better off with a MacGuffin?Player A and B play a game in which each has three coins, a 5p, 10p and a 20p. Each selects a coin without the knowledge of the other’s choice. If the sum of the coins is an odd amount, then A wins B’s coin. But, if the sum is even, then B wins A’s coin. Find the best strategy for each player and the values of the game.
- 1. A dealer wishes to purchase a number of fans and sewing machines. He has only 5760 ETB to invest and has space for almost 20 items. A fan costs him 360 ETB and sewing machine 240 ETB. His expectation is that he can sell a fan at profit of 22 ETB and a sewing machine at a profit of 18 ETB. Assuming that he can sell all the items that he can buy, how should he invest his money in order to maximize his profit. (Note: ETB - Ethiopian Birr) a. Formulate it as a linear programming problem (LPP) b. Use the graphical method to solve it.Suppose Box I contains five red balls and two white ones while Box II contains one red and four white ones. A box is chosen at random by selecting a random number from 0 through 9. If a 1 or 2 is selected, Box I is chosen; otherwise Box II is chosen. If I took Box 1 and chose 2 balls without replacement, what is the proabability that exactly one would be red?Barbara Flynn sells papers at a newspaper stand for $0.40. The papers cost her $0.30, giving her a $0.10 profit on each one she sells. From past experience Barbara knows that: a) 20% of the time she sells 150 papers. b) 20% of the time she sells 200 papers. c) 30% of the time she sells 250 papers. d) 30% of the time she sells 300 papers. Assuming that Barbara believes the cost of a lost sale to be $0.05 and any unsold papers cost her $0.30 and she orders 250 papers. Use the following random numbers: 14, 4, 13, 9, and 25 for simulating Barbara's profit. (Note: Assume the random number interval begins at 01 and ends at 00.) Based on the given probability distribution and the order size, for the given random number Barbara's sales and profit are (enter your responses for sales as integers and round all profit responses to two decimal places): Random Number Sales Profit 14 4 13 9 25
- Condo Construction Company is going to First NationalBank for a loan. At the present time, the bank is willing to lendCondo up to $1 million, with interest costs of 10%. Condobelieves that the amount of borrowed funds needed during thecurrent year is normally distributed, with a mean of $700,000and a standard deviation of $300,000. If Condo needs to borrowmore money during the year, the company will have to go toLouie the Loan Shark. The cost per dollar borrowed fromLouie is 25¢. To minimize expected interest costs for the year,how much money should Condo borrow from the bank?Consider a project with the following cash flows: year 1, 2$400; year 2, $200; year 3, $600; year 4, 2$900; year 5, $1000; year 6, $250; year 7, $230. Assume a discount rate of 15% per year.a. Find the project’s NPV if cash flows occur at the ends of the respective years.b. Find the project’s NPV if cash flows occur at the beginnings of the respective years.c. Find the project’s NPV if cash flows occur at the middles of the respective years.4 (b) An insurance company provides customers with both auto and home insurance policies. For a particular customer, Χ is the deduction on his or her auto policy and Y is the deduction on the home policy. Possible values of Χ are K100 and K250, and for Y are K0, K100 and K200. The joint probability density function for ( ) ,YΧ is given by the following table: Χ Y K100 K250 K0 0.20 0.05 K100 0.10 0.15 K200 0.20 0.30 i. Find the probability for a randomly selected policy holder having a K100 deduction on the auto insurance and a K200 deduction on the home insurance. ii. Find the probability that a randomly selected policy holder has a home deduction of at least K100. iii. Are the random variables Χ and Y independent? Explain your answer.