4.1 The following gives the number of pints of type B blood used at Woodlawn Hospital in the past 6 weeks: WEEK OF PINTS USED August 31 360 September 7 389 September 14 410 September 21 381 September 28 368 October 5 374 a) Forecast the demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average.
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constants of .6 and .9, develop fo recasts for the sales of VW Beetles. What effect did the smoothing constant have on the Use MAD to deternline which of the three smoothing constants (.3, .6, or .9) gives the most accurate forecast. ~ (MyLab Operations Management also includes a shorter (brief) version of this problem.) |
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- The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six months of observations for validation purposes, use the method of moving averages with a carefully chosen span to forecast U.S. retail sales in the next year. Comment on the performance of your model. What makes this time series more challenging to forecast?The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?
- The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 345 389 412 383 366 371 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average decimal places). pints (round your response to twoThe following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 350 370 410 381 371 378 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = 376.67 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.20, 0.35, and 0.45, using 0.45 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.)The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of Pints Used August 31 360 September 7 389 September 14 412 September 21 383 September 28 366 October 5 374 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average LOADING... = 374.33374.33 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.15, 0.35, and 0.50, using 0.50 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = 372.55372.55 pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order — the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.) c) If the forecasted demand for the week of August 31 is 360 and α = 0.20, using exponential smoothing,…
- The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of Pints Used August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 345 370 410 378 368 October 5 371 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = 372.33 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.15, 0.30, and 0.55, using 0.55 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order – the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.)1. The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Part 2 Week Of Pints Used August 31 350 September 7 372 September 14 412 September 21 381 September 28 366 October 5 378 Part 3 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average LOADING... = _____________pints (round your response to two decimal places).The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 pints (round your response to two decimal places). Pints Used 345 389 408 381 371 374
- K The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 350 389 408 378 366 371 pints (round your response to two decimal places).September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 412 381 371 378 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average=pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.15, 0.35, and 0.50, using 0.50 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.)The classified department of a monthly magazine has used a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods to forecast sales of advertising space. Results over a 20-month period are as follows: Month Error Month Error 1 —8 11 1 2 —2 12 6 3 4 13 4 7 14 4 5 9 15 1 6 5 16 —2 7 0 17 —4 8 —3 18 —8 9 -9 19 —5 10 —4 20 —1 a. Compute a tracking signal for months 11 through 20. Compute