12.2. The manager of the I-85 Carpet Outlet needs to be able to forecast accurately the demand for Soft Shag carpet (its biggest seller). If the manager does not order enough carpet from the carpet mill, customers will buy their carpets from one of the outlet's many competitors. The manager has collected the following demand data for the past eight months: Demand for Soft Shag Carpet (1000 yd) ALsE Month 1 10 4 8. 5 14 10 7 9. 8. 12 a. Compute a three-month moving average forecast for months 4 through 9. b. Compute a weighted three-month moving average forecast for months 4 through 9. Assign weights of .55, .33, and .12 to the months in sequence, starting with the most recent month. c. Compare the two forecasts using MAD. Which forecast appears to be more accurate? 6, 3.
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Zeus Computer Chips, Inc., used to have major contracts to produce the Centrino-type chips. The market has been declining during the past three years because of the dual-core chips, which it cannot produce, so Zeus has the unpleasant task of forecasting next year. The task is unpleasant because the firm has not been able to find replacement chips for its production lines. Here is demand over the past 12 quarters: TWO LAST THIS YEARS AGO UNITS YEAR UNITS YEAR UNITS 4,805 3,505 4,305 3,005 3,505 2,705 3,490 2,405 3,195 2,105 2,705 1,705 II II II II IV IV IV Use the decomposition technique to forecast demand for the next four quarters. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Period Forecast (Units) II II IV · = = >
- What is the distinction between simulated and anticipated average demand:The operations manager of a company extracted the following annual demand data from the research and development department of the company. Use it to answer questions 23-30. Year Price (¢) Demand Jan 6. 9500 Feb Mar April Мay June July 8 9000 8000 6800 5000 11 18 24 32 3500 40 2000 23. What is the percentage change in demand for transport services between Feb and May? (a) 0.44% (b) 4.44% (c) 44.4% (d) 45.4% 24. What is the average demand for the period \(a) 6257 (b) 6527 (c) 6752 (d) 7245 25. The percentage change in price between Jan and May is: Ya) 45.45% (b) 45.54% (c) 54.45% (d) 54.54% 26. How will a passenger pay for this transport service is he travelled six times in May? (a) 44 (b) 84 * (c) 144 (d) 244 27. How much more or less will a passenger pay if she travelled five times in April and three times in July? (a) 30- (b) (30) (c) 60 (d) (60) Page 5 of 16 Pcu IDL/supp' 636-19 28. What is the price elasticity ofr demand for this transport service hetween Inn and Muy (u) 0.319 (b)…ABC analysis on the following set of products Item Annual Demand Unit CostA 211 800 R9B 390 100 R90C 003 450 R6D 100 400 R100E 707 85 R2,000F 660 250 R320G 473 500 R75H 921 100 R75 Soft goods department sells 175 units per month of a certain large bath towel. The unit cost of a towel to the manufacturer is R2.50 and the cost of placing an order has been estimated to be R12.00. There is an inventory carrying charge of 27% of the unit cost per year. What is the optimal order quantity, the order frequency, and the annual holding and setup cost. If the ordering cost can be cut to R4.00, what will be the new economicorder quantity, the order frequency, and annual holding and setup costs.
- If the company in #8 uses exponential smoothing (smoothing factor = .6) and the forecast for the year is the figure they use for EOQ calculations, calculate the EOQ using the following information: The cost of ordering and carrying cost % are the same as #7 Cost of ordering: $25 Carrying costs: 45% Starting with 2018, Forecast the 2020 demand using exponential smoothing and then use that forecast as the annual demand. year sales 2017 1,000,000 2018 1,200,000 2019 2,000,000 2020Zeus Computer Chips, Inc., used to have major contracts to produce the Centrino-type chips. The market has been declining during the past three years because of the dual-core chips, which it cannot produce, so Zeus has the unpleasant task of forecasting next year. The task is unpleasant because the firm has not been able to find replacement chips for its production lines. Here is demand over the past 12 quarters: LAST THIS YEAR TWO YEARS AGO UNITS YEAR UNITS UNITS 4,785 3,495 2,696 3,475 3,210 2,078 2,705 1,695 I I I II 3,475 4,195 II II III III III IV 2,995 IV 2,375 IV Use the decomposition technique to forecast demand for the next four quarters. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Period Forecast (Units I II III IVDemand for stereo headphones and MP3 players for joggers has caused Nina Industries to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nina expects demand for headsets to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demand for the players for last year was as follows: MONTH DEMAND (UNITS) January 4,120 February 4,220 March 3,920 April 4,320 May 4,920 June 4,620 July 5,220 August 4,820 September 5,320 October 5,620 November 6,220 December 5,920 a. Using linear regression analysis, what would you estimate demand to be for each month next year? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) b. To be reasonably confident of meeting demand, Nina decides to use 3 standard errors of estimate for safety. How many additional units should be held to meet this level of confidence? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round…
- Zeus Computer Chips, Inc., used to have major contracts to produce the Centrino-type chips. The market has been declining during the past three years because of the dual-core chips, which it cannot produce, so Zeus has the unpleasant task of forecasting next year. The task is unpleasant because the firm has not been able to find replacement chips for its production lines. Here is demand over the past 12 quarters: TWO YEARS AGO UNITS 4,815 3.515 4,315 3,015 I || III IV || III IV Period I LAST YEAR I III IV UNITS Forecast (Units) 3,510 2,715 3,515 2,415 THIS YEAR I || III IV Use the decomposition technique to forecast demand for the next four quarters. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) UNITS 3,215 2,116 2,695 1,6958b) 7,000 drivers from Barrie drive southbound 5 days a week to see a billboard ad on Highway 400 (You cannot see the billboard going north). If we assume there are 200,000 total people in Barrie, what would the GRP per week for the billboard be for the target market of "the entire city of Barrie"?11.4 Given the following data, calculate the average demand and the standard deviation. Period 1 2 3 st 4 5 67 8 9 10 Total Actual Demand 1700 2100 1900 2200 2000 1800 2100 2300 2100 1800 Deviation Deviation Squared