10 Investors will be indifferent between two investments if both investments have the same expected return
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10 Investors will be indifferent between two investments if both investments have the same expected return.
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- You are considering three investment alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corporation stock (A1), Fly-By-Nite Air Cargo Company stock (A2), and a federally insured savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either "boom" (N1) or “bust” (N2), and you estimate that a boom is more likely (p1 = 0.6) than a bust (p2 = 0.4). Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2000 in boom or $500 in bust for ORC; (2) $6000 in boom but $-5000 (loss) in bust for FBN: and (3) $1200 for the certificate in either case. Set up a payoff table (decision matrix) for this problem and show which of it Alternative maximizes expected value.Given the following payoff table with the profits ($m), a firm might expect alternative investments (A, B, C) under different levels of interest rate. (Attached)(a) Which alternative should the firm choose under the maximax criterion? (b) Which option should the firm choose under the maximin criterion? (c) Which option should the firm choose under the LaPlace criterion? (d) Which option should the firm choose with the Hurwicz criterion with α = 0.2? (e) Using a minimax regret approach, what alternative should the firm choose? (f) Economists have assigned probabilities of 0.35, 0.3, and 0.35 to the possible interest levels 1, 2, and 3 respectively. Using expected monetary values, what option should be chosen and what is that optimal expected value? (g) What is the most that the firm should be willing to pay for additional information? Use Expected Regret (h) Use the alternative method to verify EVPI Part 2 Assume now that the pay offs are costs answer the following: (a) Using an…Consider two equity market investors. The first investor is a hedge fund manager that relies on very active trading, and borrows from investment banks in order to leverage their investment. Their remuneration depends on total base fee earned by their fund as a percentage of net assets under management, plus a yearly bonus based on returns generated above a hurdle rate. The second investor is a high net-worth individual who is investing for their own retirement, which they anticipate to occur in 10 years or more. Identify three dimensions of risk that are likely to have significantly different impact on thesetwo investors. Explain the nature of the difference. Suggest aspects that each investor might monitor in order to control the risks most relevant to them.
- 1.Discuss the attractiveness of Treynor Black methodology to an investor in developed market large and medium cap equities? 2. The stock market falls by 33 percent in one day: is this necessarily inconsistent with the market hypothesis? Explain your reasoning 3. New information hits a company share such that the share price rises from 100 pence to 120 pence and then the share price rises gradually over the following 6 months to 150 pence despite any further news. Is this evidence of market efficiency? Explain your reasoning.Using the data in the following table, calculate the return for investing in Boeing stock (BA) from January 2, 2008, to January 2, 2009, and also from January 3, 2011, to January 3, 2012, assuming all dividends are reinvested in the stock immediately. Historical Stock and Dividend Data for Boeing Date Price Dividend Date Price Dividend 1/2/2008 86.62 1/3/2011 66.40 2/6/2008 79.91 0.40 2/9/2011 72.63 0.42 5/7/2008 84.55 0.40 5/11/2011 79.08 0.42 8/6/2008 65.40 0.40 8/10/2011 57.41 0.42 11/5/2008 49.55 0.40 11/8/2011 66.65 0.42 1/2/2009 45.25 1/3/2012 74.22 Return from January 2, 2008, to January 2, 2009 is how much? (Round to two decimal places.)Scenario Your corporation has just approved an 8-year expansion plan to grow its market share. The plan requires an influx of cash in each of the 8 years. Management wants to develop a financial plan to ensure the cash needed for the expansion will be available at the beginning of each of the 8 years. The corporation has the following investment options: Security Price per unit Return Rate (%) Years to Maturity 1 $1,200 10.255 5 2 $1,000 6.7550 6 3 $1,175 12.110 7 Savings Account 5.500 Each unit of security 1, 2, and 3 guarantees to pay $1,000 at maturity. Investments in these securities must take place only at the beginning of year 1 and will be held until maturity. Any funds not invested in securities will be invested in a savings account that pays the annual interest rates noted above. The following table summarizes the cash needs for the expansion plan for each of the 8 years: Year 1 = $250,000 Year 5 = $295,000…
- Conoly Co. has identified an investment projectwith the following cash flows. If the discount rate is 10 percent, what is the present valueof these cash flows? What is the present value at 18 percent? At 24 percent?Year Cash Flow1 $ 9602 8403 9354 1,3501. If today stock is trading for $60 a share. You are confident that the stock price will experience a change in the value of over 30% relative to the current price in either upward or downward direction over the course of next year. Today you decide to transact in either one or two stocks maturing in one year. The strike price of both options is $60 a share. The call option premium is $6 and put option premium is $5. Given this information and your belief, you should _______. a. buy 2 calls b. buy 1 call and sell 1 put c. sell 1 call and 1 sell put d. buy 1 call and buy 1 put e. sell 2 puts Please explainA market research firm has agreed, for a fee, to analyse the demand for the start-up's product and issue a report predicting whether the new start-up will be a success or a failure before the venture capitalist can make his investment decision. a) Assuming the VC is risk-neutral, what is the maximum amount it should pay for the market research? Assume that the market research's prediction is correct. b) What are the risk profiles associated with the venture capitalist's investment decision when he uses the market research with perfect predictions? How are these risk profiles compared to the risk profiles when the venture capitalist does not use the market research? Why?
- On Monday, a certain stock closed at $10 per share. Before the stock market opens on Tuesday, you expect the stock to close at $9, $10, or $11 per share, with respective probabilities 0.3, 0.3, and 0.4. Looking ahead to Wednesday, you expect the stock to close 10 percent lower, unchanged, or 10 percent higher than Tuesday’s close, with the following probabilities. Tuesday's Close 10 Percent Lower Unchanged 10 Percent Higher $9 0.4 0.3 0.3 10 0.2 0.2 0.6 11 0.1 0.2 0.7 Early on Tuesday, you are directed to buy 100 shares of the stock before Thursday. All purchases are made at the end of the day, at the known closing price for that day, so your only options are to buy at the end of Tuesday or at the end of Wednesday. You wish to determine the optimal strategy for whether to buy on Tuesday or defer the purchase until Wednesday, given the Tuesday closing price, to minimize the expected purchase price. Develop and evaluate a decision tree. a-1. Determine the optimal…Given the following payoff table with the profits ($m), a firm might expect alternative investments (A, B, C) under different levels of interest rate. (attached) Assume now that the payoffs are costs answer the following: (a) Using an optimistic approach (maximax), which option would you choose? (b) Using a pessimistic approach (maximin), which option would you choose?(c) If you are a LaPlace decision maker, which option would you choose? (d) If you are a Hurwicz decision maker, which option would you choose with α = 0.2?(e) Using a minimax regret approach, which option would you choose?(f) Using the same probabilities of 0.35, 0.3, and 0.35 for possible interest levels 1, 2, 3 respectively, which decision alternative will minimise the expected cost? What is the expected annual cost associated with that recommendation? g) What is the most the firm should be willing to pay to obtain further (perfect) information (EVPI)? h) Use the alternative method to verify EVPIYou are looking for some investors for your new project and there is a very good chance topresent your ideas. You heard that world-renowned businessman – Mr. Smith from Great Britain inEurope – is going to visit your city. He is known for his rich investments all over the world. Therefore,you decide to meet him and check, whether he could be also your investor. Your assistant arrangesan appointment. Mr. Smith agrees to meet you and informs that he will be accompanied by aperson who knows well the topic you want to talk about – Professor Jones.You are about to organise this business meeting at your office. You know Mr. Smith will come togetherwith Professor Jones, so you decide to ask one of your most experienced employees to join themeeting and share some advice. And you have also this new guy in your company, he works here onlyfor a month now, but he looks like he knows what he's doing. You might also need his opinion duringthis meeting. And definitely your assistant – no one takes…