Galbraith Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $7,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $26,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$4,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows. What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 12%? $30,587 $29,058 $35,175 $36,704 Galbraith now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,750 (at the end of year 2). The $4,750 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project’s assets and the company’s –$4,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project. Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account. $37,342 $33,947 $44,131 $42,434 What is the value of the option to abandon the project?

Financial Management: Theory & Practice

16th Edition

ISBN:9781337909730

Author:Brigham

Publisher:Brigham

Chapter26: Real Options

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 3P: Wansley Lumber is considering the purchase of a paper company, which would require an initial...

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Galbraith Co. is considering a four-year project that will require an initial investment of $7,000. The base-case cash flows for this project are projected to be $14,000 per year. The best-case cash flows are projected to be $26,000 per year, and the worst-case cash flows are projected to be –$4,500 per year. The company’s analysts have estimated that there is a 50% probability that the project will generate the base-case cash flows. The analysts also think that there is a 25% probability of the project generating the best-case cash flows and a 25% probability of the project generating the worst-case cash flows.

What would be the expected net present value (NPV) of this project if the project’s cost of capital is 12%?

$30,587

$29,058

$35,175

$36,704

Galbraith now wants to take into account its ability to abandon the project at the end of year 2 if the project ends up generating the worst-case scenario cash flows. If it decides to abandon the project at the end of year 2, the company will receive a one-time net cash inflow of $4,750 (at the end of year 2). The $4,750 the company receives at the end of year 2 is the difference between the cash the company receives from selling off the project’s assets and the company’s –$4,500 cash outflow from operations. Additionally, if it abandons the project, the company will have no cash flows in years 3 and 4 of the project.

Using the information in the preceding problem, find the expected NPV of this project when taking the abandonment option into account.

$37,342

$33,947

$44,131

$42,434

What is the value of the option to abandon the project?

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