The company estimates that a project with an initial investment of -$25 will produce ten positive cash flows of $4.3 a year at the end of each of the next 10 years. The project's cost of capital is 11%. One year from now, there is a 40% chance that the product demand will be low, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.00. One year from now, there is 60% chance that the product demand will be higher, and the yearly cash flows will be $4.8. Should the company exercise investment timing option and wait a year before proceeding? Prove numerically.

Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN:9781337395083
Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Publisher:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Chapter14: Real Options
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 3MC: Tropical Sweets is considering a project that will cost $70 million and will generate expected cash...
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The company estimates that a project with an initial investment of -$25 will produce ten positive cash flows of $4.3 a year at the end of each of the next 10 years. The project's cost of capital is 11%.

One year from now, there is a 40% chance that the product demand will be low, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.00. One year from now, there is 60% chance that the product demand will be higher, and the yearly cash flows will be $4.8.

Should the company exercise investment timing option and wait a year before proceeding? Prove numerically.

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