Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:- A simple three month moving average.  A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350.  Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months.

Months

Sales

January

69

February

75

March

86

April

92

May

95

June

100

July

108

August

115

September

125

October

131

November

140

December

150

 

  1. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:-
  2. A simple three month moving average. 
  3. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data.
  4. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350. 
  5. Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD. 
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