The daily demand for a product in a shop can assume one of the following values: 100, 120, or 130 items with probabilities 0.2, 0.3 and 0.5. The owner of the store is thus limiting the alternatives to stocking one of the indicated three levels. If the owner stocks more that it can be sold in the same day the remaining items must be disposed at a discount price of 55 cents per item. Assume that the owner pays 60 cents per item and sells it for 100 cents, find the optimal stock level.
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The daily demand for a product in a shop can assume one of the following values: 100, 120, or 130 items with probabilities 0.2, 0.3 and 0.5. The owner of the store is thus limiting the alternatives to stocking one of the indicated three levels. If the owner stocks more that it can be sold in the same day the remaining items must be disposed at a discount price of 55 cents per item. Assume that the owner pays 60 cents per item and sells it for 100 cents, find the optimal stock level.
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- Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.Six months before its annual convention, the American Medical Association must determine how many rooms to reserve. At this time, the AMA can reserve rooms at a cost of 150 per room. The AMA believes the number of doctors attending the convention will be normally distributed with a mean of 5000 and a standard deviation of 1000. If the number of people attending the convention exceeds the number of rooms reserved, extra rooms must be reserved at a cost of 250 per room. a. Use simulation with @RISK to determine the number of rooms that should be reserved to minimize the expected cost to the AMA. Try possible values from 4100 to 4900 in increments of 100. b. Redo part a for the case where the number attending has a triangular distribution with minimum value 2000, maximum value 7000, and most likely value 5000. Does this change the substantive results from part a?A new edition of a very popular textbook will be published a year from now. The publisher currently has 1000 copies on hand and is deciding whether to do another printing before the new edition comes out. The publisher estimates that demand for the book during the next year is governed by the probability distribution in the file P10_31.xlsx. A production run incurs a fixed cost of 15,000 plus a variable cost of 20 per book printed. Books are sold for 190 per book. Any demand that cannot be met incurs a penalty cost of 30 per book, due to loss of goodwill. Up to 1000 of any leftover books can be sold to Barnes and Noble for 45 per book. The publisher is interested in maximizing expected profit. The following print-run sizes are under consideration: 0 (no production run) to 16,000 in increments of 2000. What decision would you recommend? Use simulation with 1000 replications. For your optimal decision, the publisher can be 90% certain that the actual profit associated with remaining sales of the current edition will be between what two values?
- Topgun Records and several movie studios have decided to sign a revenue-sharing contract for CDs. Each CD costs the studio $2 to produce. The CD will be sold to Topgun for $3. Topgun, in turn, prices a CD at $15 and forecasts demand to be normally distributed, with a mean of 5,000 and a standard deviation of 2,000. Any unsold CDs are discounted to $1, and all sell at this price. Topgun will share 35 percent of the revenue with the studio, keeping 65 percent for itself. How many CDs should Topgun order? How many CDs does Topgun expect to sell at a discount? What is the profit that Topgun expects to make? What is the profit that the studio expects to make? Repeat parts (a)–(d) if the studio sells the CD for $2 (instead of $3) but gets 43 percent of revenue.Barbara Flynn sells papers at a newspaper stand for $0.40. The papers cost her $0.30, giving her a $0.10 profit on each one she sells. From past experience Barbara knows that: a) 20% of the time she sells 150 papers. b) 20% of the time she sells 200 papers. c) 30% of the time she sells 250 papers. d) 30% of the time she sells 300 papers. Assuming that Barbara believes the cost of a lost sale to be $0.05 and any unsold papers cost her $0.30 and she orders 250 papers. Use the following random numbers: 14, 4, 13, 9, and 25 for simulating Barbara's profit. (Note: Assume the random number interval begins at 01 and ends at 00.) Based on the given probability distribution and the order size, for the given random number Barbara's sales and profit are (enter your responses for sales as integers and round all profit responses to two decimal places): Random Number Sales Profit 14 4 13 9 25Green Thumb, a manufacturer of lawn care equipment, has introduced a new product. Each unit costs $150 to manufacture, and the introductory price is to be $200. At this price, the anticipated demand is normally distributed, with a mean of μ = 100 and a standard deviation of σ = 40. Any unsold units at the end of the season are unlikely to be valuable and will be disposed of in a fire sale for $50 each. It costs $20 to hold a unit in inventory for the entire season. How many units should Green Thumb manufacture for sale? What is the expected profit from this policy? On average, how many customers does Green Thumb expect to turn away because of stocking out?
- A retail outlet sells a seasonal product for $10 per unit. The cost of the product is $8 per unit. All units not sold during the regular season are sold for half the retail price in an end-of-season clearance sale. Assume that demand for the product is uniformly distributed between 200 and 800. What is the recommended order quantity? What is the probability that at least some customers will ask to purchase the product after the outlet is sold out? That is, what is the probability of a stock-out using your order quantity in part (a)? To keep customers happy and returning to the store later, the owner feels that stock-outs should be avoided if at all possible. What is your recommended order quantity if the owner is willing to tolerate a 0.15 probability of a stock-out?A book and paper store distributes one specialized monthly magazine. When looking at the sales the last years, they have concluded that the demand for each issue of the magazine will be normally distributed with an expected sale of 250 and a standard deviation of 100. The purchase price for the magazine is $20. and the sales price is $50.The store has an agreement with a second -hand store that buys unsold magazines for $5 each. How many magazines should the store buy of each issue?The owner of a boat has estimated the following distribution of demand for a particular kind of boat. No. demanded o 1 2 3 Probability 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 Each boat costs him (c + d) rials and he sells them for (2 • c + 2 • d) rials each. Prices are given in hundreds rial units. Boats that are left unsold at the end of the season must be disposed off for (c + d – 2) rials each. How many should be stocked so as to maximize his expected profit?
- A manufacturer of industrial sales has production capacity of 1,000 units per day. Currently, the firm sells production capacity for $10 per unit. At this price, all production capacity gets booked about one week in advance. A group of customers have said that they would be willing to pay $15 per unit if capacity was available on the last day. About ten days in advance, demand for the high-price segment is normally distributed with a mean of 250 and a standard deviation of 100. How much production capacity should the manufacturer reserve for the last day? Show the answer clearly.Green Thumb, a manufacturer of lawn care equipment, has introduced a new product. Each unit costs $180 to manufacture, and the introductory price is $250. At this price, the anticipated demand is normally distributed, with a mean of μ = 300 and a standard deviation of σ = 60. Any unsold units at the end of the season are unlikely to be valuable and will be disposed of in a post-season sale for $50 each. How many units should Green Thumb manufacture for sale? What is the expected profit from this policy? On average, how many customers does Green Thumb expect to turn away because of stocking out? Please show workings and formula in excelA manufacturer of small garden tools has introduced a new product, a battery powered shrub/hedge trimmer. The anticipated demand is normally distributed with a mean of μ = 100 and a standard deviation of σ = 50. Each unit costs $75 to manufacture and the introductory price is to be $125. Any unsold units at the end of the season are unlikely to be very valuable and will be disposed of in a fire sale for $25 each. It costs $10 to hold a unit in inventory for the entire season. What is the cost of overstocking? What is the cost of understocking? What is the optimal cycle service level? How many units should be manufactured for sale?