Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't. Question 4 What is the expected (average) value of the contract's payout in dollars?

Microeconomic Theory
12th Edition
ISBN:9781337517942
Author:NICHOLSON
Publisher:NICHOLSON
Chapter7: Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 7.5P
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Betting on Events
Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay
you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't.
Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay
you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't.
Question 4
What is the expected (average) value of the contract's payout in dollars?
Transcribed Image Text:Betting on Events Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't. Suppose there is a 75% chance of rain tomorrow. You are offered a "contract" that will pay you $1 if it rains tomorrow and $0 if it doesn't. Question 4 What is the expected (average) value of the contract's payout in dollars?
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