Suppose that A1, A2, A3, A4, and A5 are five mutually exclusive and exhaustive events in a sample space S, and suppose that P(A1)=0.2, P(A2)=0.1, P(A3) = 0.15, P(A4)=0.3, and P(A5)=0.25. Another event E in S is such that P(E|A1) = 0.2, P(E|A2)=0.1, P(E|A3)=0.35, P(E|A4)=0.3, and P(E|A5)=0.25. Find the probabilities P(A1|E), P(A2|E), P(A3|E), P(A4|E), and P(A5|E).

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter10: Sequences, Series, And Probability
Section10.8: Probability
Problem 29E
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Suppose that A1, A2, A3, A4, and A5 are five mutually exclusive and exhaustive
events in a sample space S, and suppose that P(A1)=0.2, P(A2)=0.1, P(A3) =
0.15, P(A4)=0.3, and P(A5)=0.25. Another event E in S is such that P(E|A1) =
0.2, P(E|A2)=0.1, P(E|A3)=0.35, P(E|A4)=0.3, and P(E|A5)=0.25. Find the
probabilities P(A1|E), P(A2|E), P(A3|E), P(A4|E), and P(A5|E).

Suppose that A₁, A2, A3, A4, and A5 are five mutually exclusive and exhaustive
events in a sample space S, and suppose that P(A₁) = 0.2, P(A₂) = 0.1, P(A3) =
0.15, P(A₁) = 0.3, and P(A5) = 0.25. Another event E in S is such that P(E|A₁) =
0.2, P(E|A₂) = 0.1, P(E|A3) = 0.35, P(E|A₁) = 0.3, and P(E|A5) = 0.25. Find the
probabilities P(A₁|E), P(A₂|E), P(A3|E), P(A₁|E), and P(A5|E).
:
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose that A₁, A2, A3, A4, and A5 are five mutually exclusive and exhaustive events in a sample space S, and suppose that P(A₁) = 0.2, P(A₂) = 0.1, P(A3) = 0.15, P(A₁) = 0.3, and P(A5) = 0.25. Another event E in S is such that P(E|A₁) = 0.2, P(E|A₂) = 0.1, P(E|A3) = 0.35, P(E|A₁) = 0.3, and P(E|A5) = 0.25. Find the probabilities P(A₁|E), P(A₂|E), P(A3|E), P(A₁|E), and P(A5|E). :
Expert Solution
Step 1: Given information.

The given probabilities are
 P open parentheses A subscript 1 close parentheses equals 0.2
P open parentheses A subscript 2 close parentheses equals 0.1
P open parentheses A subscript 3 close parentheses equals 0.15
P open parentheses A subscript 4 close parentheses equals 0.3
P open parentheses A subscript 5 close parentheses equals 0.25

Also, for an event E in S, the conditional probabilities are:
P open parentheses E vertical line A subscript 1 close parentheses equals 0.2
P open parentheses E vertical line A subscript 2 close parentheses equals 0.1
P open parentheses E vertical line A subscript 3 close parentheses equals 0.35
P open parentheses E vertical line A subscript 4 close parentheses equals 0.3
P open parentheses E vertical line A subscript 5 close parentheses equals 0.25

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I believe in step 3 the there is a multipication error .1+.1 is not 0.02

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