Risky Prospect K is defined as: K- ($8, 0.30 : $13 ,0.70) If my utility of wealth function is given by u (x) = x" and a-0.7, what is my certainty equivalent for prospect K? (What is the value of CE(K)?) (Hint: If u (x) = x", then u (x) = x)
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- Suppose that Mike, with utility function, u(x) = v x+5000, is offered a gamble where a coin is flipped twice, and if the coin comes up heads both times (probability - .25), he gets $40,000. Would he prefer this gamble or $7,500 for sure? What is his Certainty Equivalent?Buying and selling prices for risky investments obviously are related to certain equivalents. This problem, however, shows that the prices depend on exactly what is owned in the first place. Suppose that your utility for wealth (A) can be represented by the utility function u(A) = In [(A)] You currently have R1000 in cash. A business deal of interest to you yields a reward of R100 with probability 0,5 and RO with probability 0,5. 2.1 If you own this business deal in addition to the R1000, what is the smallest amount for which you would sell the deal? 2.2 Suppose you do not own the deal. Formulate an appropriate equation and solve with algebra to find the largest amount you would be willing to pay for the deal. 2.3 Explain why the amounts in 2.1 and 2.2 are slightly different.Hello can any one help with this Economics question: A contractor spends Dollar 3,000 to prepare for a bid on a construction project which, after deducting manufacturing expenses and the cost of bidding, will yield a profit of dollar 25,000 if the bid is won. If the chance of winning the bid is ten per cent, compute his expected profit and state the likely decision on whether to bid or not to bid?
- Choice under uncertainty Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. 5. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above. (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.Suppose you have an exponential utility function given by U(x) =1- exp(-x/R) where, for you, R = 1000. Further, suppose you have an investment with a 50/50 chance of returning either 0 or 2000 dollars. Note U(0) = 0 and U(2000) = 0.865, so the utility of the lottery is 0.432. What is the certain equivalent of that investment?Suppose that my utility function is u(w) = wº.1 (a) If I played one round of the St. Petersburg Lottery, would would my expected utility be? Assume I currently have zero wealth, and round your answer to two decimals places. Note that in order to compute my expected utility, you will need to sum a geometric series. Expected Utility = 2.15 utiles. (b) Use your rounded answer from (a) to determine my certainty equivalent for the St. Petersburg Lottery. Round your answer to the nearest cent. Certainty Equivalent = $ 2110.50
- Adam is considering what skills to study in online school. Her utility function is based on the income she earns, and is defined by U(I) = I0.8. If she learns the skill of SPSS, she will earn $145,000 per year with probability 1. If she learns the skill of Tableau, she will earn $300,000 per year with probability 0.6 (assuming that she gets the certificate) and $30,000 with probability 0.4 (if she learns without earning a certificate and she has to find a waiter job). a. Is she risk averse, risk neutral, or risk loving? Explain.b. Write out the equation for her expected utility for each skill. c.Which skill will she learn? Show your work. d.Suppose someone offers her insurance for the possibility that she does not get a Tableau certificate. This insurance will provide her an amount of income in addition to the waiter job wages that makes her indifferent between learning SPSS and Tableau. What is this amount, and what is the cost of the insurance? (note: many possible answers)Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.You have a net worth of $901395 and a utility function given by u(w) = w0.5. If your house %3! catches fire, a 3% likelihood of occurring, you expect it to be total loss and it was recently assessed at $792999. What is the risk premium ($) you'd be willing to pay for full coverage against this fire risk? Hints: Compute the certainty equivalent (CEQ) as you did in Comm 220 and recall that the risk premia is the amount you'd be willing to pay over the expected loss Answer:
- Tasha is planning to invest in a farming project in 2022, but has a reservation given the different forecast (declined (D),the average (A) and takeoff (T)of the economy. She uses the following to guide her decision making. (i) there is 25% chance she will invest if there is a forecast of declined (ii) there is a 75% chance she will invest if there is a forecast of average growth and (iii) there is a 55% chance of investing if there is a forecast that economy will takeoff. Tashanna believes that for 2022 there is a 20% chance of decline and a 40% chance of average growth and a 40% chance the economy will take off. Based on these probabilities what is the chance that Tattiana will invest in the farming project if the stated forecast hold?Exercise 3: Risky Investment Charlie has von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u(x) = ln x and has wealth W = 250, 000. She is offered the opportunity to purchase a risky project for price P = 160, 000. With probability p= 1 the project will be a success and return V > 160,000. With probability 1-p = the project will fail and be worthless (i.e. it returns 0). For simplicity assume there is no interest between the time of the investment and the time of its return, that is r = 0 . How large must V be in order for Charlie to want to purchase the risky project? [Hint: What is Charlie's expected utility is she does not purchase the project? What is Charlie's expected utility is she purchases the project?]Questions 18 through 20 refer to the following information: Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = vc. Question 18 What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? Question 19 What is his expected utility?
