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- It is January 1 of year 0, and Merck is trying to determine whether to continue development of a new drug. The following information is relevant. You can assume that all cash flows occur at the ends of the respective years. Clinical trials (the trials where the drug is tested on humans) are equally likely to be completed in year 1 or 2. There is an 80% chance that clinical trials will succeed. If these trials fail, the FDA will not allow the drug to be marketed. The cost of clinical trials is assumed to follow a triangular distribution with best case 100 million, most likely case 150 million, and worst case 250 million. Clinical trial costs are incurred at the end of the year clinical trials are completed. If clinical trials succeed, the drug will be sold for five years, earning a profit of 6 per unit sold. If clinical trials succeed, a plant will be built during the same year trials are completed. The cost of the plant is assumed to follow a triangular distribution with best case 1 billion, most likely case 1.5 billion, and worst case 2.5 billion. The plant cost will be depreciated on a straight-line basis during the five years of sales. Sales begin the year after successful clinical trials. Of course, if the clinical trials fail, there are no sales. During the first year of sales, Merck believe sales will be between 100 million and 200 million units. Sales of 140 million units are assumed to be three times as likely as sales of 120 million units, and sales of 160 million units are assumed to be twice as likely as sales of 120 million units. Merck assumes that for years 2 to 5 that the drug is on the market, the growth rate will be the same each year. The annual growth in sales will be between 5% and 15%. There is a 25% chance that the annual growth will be 7% or less, a 50% chance that it will be 9% or less, and a 75% chance that it will be 12% or less. Cash flows are discounted 15% per year, and the tax rate is 40%. Use simulation to model Mercks situation. Based on the simulation output, would you recommend that Merck continue developing? Explain your reasoning. What are the three key drivers of the projects NPV? (Hint: The way the uncertainty about the first year sales is stated suggests using the General distribution, implemented with the RISKGENERAL function. Similarly, the way the uncertainty about the annual growth rate is stated suggests using the Cumul distribution, implemented with the RISKCUMUL function. Look these functions up in @RISKs online help.)Your answer is partially correct. An independent contractor for a transportation company needs to determine whether she should upgrade the vehicle she currently owns or trade her vehicle in to lease a new vehicle. If she keeps her vehicle, she will need to invest in immediate upgrades that cost $5,200 and it will cost $1,300 per year to operate at the end of year that follows. She will keep the vehicle for 5 years; at the end of this period, the upgraded vehicle will have a salvage value of $3,800. Alternatively, she could trade in her vehicle to lease a new vehicle. She estimates that her current vehicle has a trade-in value of $9,800 and that there will be $4,100 due at lease signing. She further estimates that it will cost $2,900 per year to lease and operate the vehicle. The independent contractor's MARR is 11%. Compute the EUAC of both the upgrade and lease alternatives using the insider perspective. Click here to access the TVM Factor Table Calculator. 1943.56 EUAC(keep): $…A homebuyer recently obtained a loan to purchase a house. The lender offered a lower interest rate because the loan is secured. Why would a real estate loan be considered a secure loan? О The loan is backed by the property itself. If the borrower defaults on the loan, the lender can sell the property to get their money back. O In order to qualify for a home loan, the borrower must have good credit. Good credit is a form of security for the lender. O All real estate loans are considered unsecure. O Most home loans are long-term loans, which are considered low-risk from the lender's perspective.
- Consider two equity market investors. The first investor is a hedge fund manager that relies on very active trading, and borrows from investment banks in order to leverage their investment. Their remuneration depends on total base fee earned by their fund as a percentage of net assets under management, plus a yearly bonus based on returns generated above a hurdle rate. The second investor is a high net-worth individual who is investing for their own retirement, which they anticipate to occur in 10 years or more. Identify three dimensions of risk that are likely to have significantly different impact on thesetwo investors. Explain the nature of the difference. Suggest aspects that each investor might monitor in order to control the risks most relevant to them.Why might a manager intentionally classify a trading security as an available-for-sale security? Select one: O A. The manager may wish to prevent an increase in value from being reported in shareholders' equity. B. The manager may wish to prevent a decline in value from being reported in shareholders' equity. C. The manager may wish to prevent a decline in value from being reported on the income statement. D. The manager may wish to prevent an increase in value from being reported on the income statement.Which is the correct answer for the question below. Some popular reality television programs follow people who buy the contents of abandoned storage lockers at public auctions. In most cases, several storage lockers are sold in sequence during a particular auction. Occasionally, one of the buyers will purposefully bid much more than the expected value of a particular storage locker in order to intimidate the other bidders. What is a plausible explanation for these excessive bids? A. The excessive bids may be rational if they occur during the last auction of the day. B. The bidder is trying to establish a first-mover advantage, but only if they occur during the first auction of the day. C. The buyer is trying to establish a reputation that may affect the outcome of later auctions. D. The excessive bids represent a form of tacit collusion among the buyers.
- I have a accounting firm and someone from real estate wants to invest and give my firm all her accounts but in return wants equal ownership of my firm, but i dont want to giver her equal ownership but wants her to invest in my firm , what are alternatives that i can offer her without giving her half ownership. ElaborateRonny took out a 7-year mortgage. For 7 years, he paid the lender monthly payments of $950. Then, after 7 years, his last payment comes due at $55,000. What kind of mortgage did Ronny most likely have? a partially amortized loan a wraparound loan an FHA lean a reverse mortgageIf a $900,000 30-year fully amortizing fixed rate mortgage loan from City National Bank has an annual interest rate of 6.25% with a monthly payment of $5,541.45, and a $900,000 15-year fully amortizing fixed rate mortgage loan from Wells Fargo Bank has an annual interest rate of 5.25% with a monthly payment of $7,234.90, a borrower should: a. Choose the 30-year fixed rate loan from City National Bank because of the lower monthly payments b. Make a careful analysis of all the terms and conditions of the available loans to determine which loan is better for that borrower under the circumstances, or if another loan or lender should be considered c. Choose a 7-year adjustable rate interest-only loan from PNC Bank instead with a low teaser interest rate of 1.0% for the first loan year d.Choose the 15-year fixed rate loan from Wells Fargo because of the lower interest rate
- The process of evaluating risk to make certain that the risk cost coverage is adequate to reduce the exposure to risk, is referred to as? Select one: a. Liquidity coverage b. Underwriting c. Risk poolingAt age 25, Anthony establishes an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). If he invests P10,000 per year for 30 years in an ordinary annuity, the account earns 7.75% per year, how much will he have in the account at age 55?The process of evaluating risk to make certain that the risk cost coverage is adequate to reduce the exposure to risk, is referred to as? Select one: a. Risk coverage b. Liquidity coverage c. Underwriting d. Risk pooling