Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (w = 0.9 and w = 0.3). (Note: The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming Yt + 1 = Yt.) Year Actual Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1,400 1,435 1,460 1,475 1,480 1,475 1,460 1,510 1,550 1,580 Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 RMSE The following table shows the square errors, Moving Average (5-year) 1,450 1,465 1,470 1,480 1,495 1,515 (5-year) 625 25 1,600 4,900 7,225 Moving Average Fill the table by calculating the root mean square error (RMSE) for each of the methods. (3-year) 9 289 1,444 4,624 5,329 (3-year) Square Error 1,432 ▼ 1,457 1,472 ▼ 1,477 ▼ 1,472 ▼ 1,482 ▼ 1,507 1,547 Three-year moving average O Exponential smoothing (w = 0.3) Five-year moving average O Exponential smoothing (w = 0.9) Exponential Smoothing (W = 0.9) (W = 0.3) 1,400 (Y-Y...), , for forecasts from 2005 through 2009. 1,400 Exponential Smoothing (W = 0.9) (W = 0.3) 16 484 225 0 2,304 2,500 2,025 5,625 1,156 6,724 Based on the RMSE criterion, which of the forecasting methods is the most accurate?
Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (w = 0.9 and w = 0.3). (Note: The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming Yt + 1 = Yt.) Year Actual Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1,400 1,435 1,460 1,475 1,480 1,475 1,460 1,510 1,550 1,580 Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 RMSE The following table shows the square errors, Moving Average (5-year) 1,450 1,465 1,470 1,480 1,495 1,515 (5-year) 625 25 1,600 4,900 7,225 Moving Average Fill the table by calculating the root mean square error (RMSE) for each of the methods. (3-year) 9 289 1,444 4,624 5,329 (3-year) Square Error 1,432 ▼ 1,457 1,472 ▼ 1,477 ▼ 1,472 ▼ 1,482 ▼ 1,507 1,547 Three-year moving average O Exponential smoothing (w = 0.3) Five-year moving average O Exponential smoothing (w = 0.9) Exponential Smoothing (W = 0.9) (W = 0.3) 1,400 (Y-Y...), , for forecasts from 2005 through 2009. 1,400 Exponential Smoothing (W = 0.9) (W = 0.3) 16 484 225 0 2,304 2,500 2,025 5,625 1,156 6,724 Based on the RMSE criterion, which of the forecasting methods is the most accurate?
Chapter6: Exponential And Logarithmic Functions
Section6.8: Fitting Exponential Models To Data
Problem 1TI: Table 2 shows a recent graduate’s credit card balance each month after graduation. a. Use...
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