Assume that a population of patients contains 30% of individuals who suffer from a certain fatal syndrome Z, which simultaneously makes it uncomfortable for them to take a life-prolonging drug X. Let Z = 1 and Z = 0 represent, respectively, the presence and absence of the syndrome, Y = 1 and Y = 0 represent death and survival, respectively, and X = 1 and X = 0 represent taking and not taking the drug. Assume that patients not carrying the syndrome, Z = 0, die with probability 0.5 if they take the drug and with probability 0.5 if they do not. Patients carrying the syndrome, Z = 1, on the other hand, die with probability 0.7 if they do not take the drug and with probability 0.3 if they do take the drug. Further, patients having the syndrome are more likely to avoid the drug, with probabilities p(X = 1|Z=0) = 0.9 and P(X = 1|Z = 1) = 0.6 . Based on this model, compute the joint distributions and  for all values of x, y, and z. Present the following joint distributions in tables. [Hint: Use the product decomposition.] p(x,y,z) p(x,y) p(x,z) p(y,z)

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter1: Functions
Section1.EA: Extended Application Using Extrapolation To Predict Life Expectancy
Problem 5EA
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Assume that a population of patients contains 30% of individuals who suffer from a certain fatal syndrome Z, which simultaneously makes it uncomfortable for them to take a life-prolonging drug X. Let Z = 1 and Z = 0 represent, respectively, the presence and absence of the syndrome, Y = 1 and Y = 0 represent death and survival, respectively, and X = 1 and X = 0 represent taking and not taking the drug. Assume that patients not carrying the syndrome, Z = 0, die with probability 0.5 if they take the drug and with probability 0.5 if they do not. Patients carrying the syndrome, Z = 1, on the other hand, die with probability 0.7 if they do not take the drug and with probability 0.3 if they do take the drug. Further, patients having the syndrome are more likely to avoid the drug, with probabilities p(X = 1|Z=0) = 0.9 and P(X = 1|Z = 1) = 0.6 .

  1. Based on this model, compute the joint distributions and  for all values of x, y, and z. Present the following joint distributions in tables. [Hint: Use the product decomposition.]
    1. p(x,y,z)
    2. p(x,y)
    3. p(x,z)
    4. p(y,z)
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