a. Compute the MSE and MAD for each forecast. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) 1 2 Answer is complete but not entirely correct. MAD Forecast Forecast MSE 2,942.50 1,125.60 X MAPE F1 MAPE F2 22.50 b. Compute MAPE for each forecast. (Round your intermediate calculations to 5 decimal places and final answers to 4 decimal places.) 28.40 Answer is complete but not entirely correct. 4.2153 % 3.4380 % c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1) MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 29P: The file P13_29.xlsx contains monthly time series data for total U.S. retail sales of building...
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15
5
Two independent methods of forecasting based on
judgment and experience have been prepared each
month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual
sales are as follows:
1
Month Sales Forecast 1
835
845
2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Forecast
850
820
785
840
815
840
785
800
Forecast
835
830
840
790
815
785
770
835
a. Compute the MSE and MAD for each forecast. (Round
your answers to 2 decimal places.)
MSE
MAPE F1
MAPE F2
805
785
Answer is complete but not entirely correct.
MAD
2,942.50 x
Forecast 2
765
830
1,125.60 x
815
830
800
806
775
810
815
805
4.2153 X %
3.4380 %
22.50✔
Return to question
28.40✔
b. Compute MAPE for each forecast. (Round your
intermediate calculations to 5 decimal places and final
answers to 4 decimal places.)
> Answer is complete but not entirely correct.
c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using
the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1)
MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s
control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a
minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Transcribed Image Text:15 5 Two independent methods of forecasting based on judgment and experience have been prepared each month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual sales are as follows: 1 Month Sales Forecast 1 835 845 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Forecast 850 820 785 840 815 840 785 800 Forecast 835 830 840 790 815 785 770 835 a. Compute the MSE and MAD for each forecast. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) MSE MAPE F1 MAPE F2 805 785 Answer is complete but not entirely correct. MAD 2,942.50 x Forecast 2 765 830 1,125.60 x 815 830 800 806 775 810 815 805 4.2153 X % 3.4380 % 22.50✔ Return to question 28.40✔ b. Compute MAPE for each forecast. (Round your intermediate calculations to 5 decimal places and final answers to 4 decimal places.) > Answer is complete but not entirely correct. c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1) MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
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