A) Why is the conditional variance a good measure of uncertainty? B) Outline the GARCH model and GARCH-M model. C) Outline one of the extensions to the basic GARCH family of model
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A) Why is the conditional variance a good measure of uncertainty?
B) Outline the GARCH model and GARCH-M model.
C) Outline one of the extensions to the basic GARCH family of models
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- An antique collector believes that the price received for a particular item increases with its age and with the number of bidders. The file P13_14.xlsx contains data on these three variables for 32 recently auctioned comparable items. Estimate a multiple regression equation using the given data. Interpret each of the estimated regression coefficients. Is the antique collector correct in believing that the price received for the item increases with its age and with the number of bidders? Interpret the standard error of estimate and the R-square value for these data.The owner of a restaurant in Bloomington, Indiana, has recorded sales data for the past 19 years. He has also recorded data on potentially relevant variables. The data are listed in the file P13_17.xlsx. a. Estimate a simple regression equation involving annual sales (the dependent variable) and the size of the population residing within 10 miles of the restaurant (the explanatory variable). Interpret R-square for this regression. b. Add another explanatory variableannual advertising expendituresto the regression equation in part a. Estimate and interpret this expanded equation. How does the R-square value for this multiple regression equation compare to that of the simple regression equation estimated in part a? Explain any difference between the two R-square values. How can you use the adjusted R-squares for a comparison of the two equations? c. Add one more explanatory variable to the multiple regression equation estimated in part b. In particular, estimate and interpret the coefficients of a multiple regression equation that includes the previous years advertising expenditure. How does the inclusion of this third explanatory variable affect the R-square, compared to the corresponding values for the equation of part b? Explain any changes in this value. What does the adjusted R-square for the new equation tell you?Management of a home appliance store would like to understand the growth pattern of the monthly sales of Blu-ray disc players over the past two years. Managers have recorded the relevant data in the file P13_33.xlsx. a. Create a scatterplot for these data. Comment on the observed behavior of monthly sales at this store over time. b. Estimate an appropriate regression equation to explain the variation of monthly sales over the given time period. Interpret the estimated regression coefficients. c. Analyze the estimated equations residuals. Do they suggest that the regression equation is adequate? If not, return to part b and revise your equation. Continue to revise the equation until the results are satisfactory.
- A trucking company wants to predict the yearly maintenance expense (Y) for a truck using the number of miles driven during the year (X1) and the age of the truck (X2, in years) at the beginning of the year. The company has gathered the data given in the file P13_13.xlsx. Note that each observation corresponds to a particular truck. Estimate a multiple regression equation using the given data. Interpret each of the estimated regression coefficients. Also, interpret the standard error of estimate and the R-square value for these data.The file P13_19.xlsx contains the weekly sales of a particular brand of paper towels at a supermarket for a one-year period. a. Using a span of 3, forecast the sales of this product for the next 10 weeks with the moving averages method. How well does this method with span 3 forecast the known observations in this series? b. Repeat part a with a span of 10. c. Which of these two spans appears to be more appropriate? Justify your choice.What is the difference between a dependent and an inde-pendent variable?
- What is the advantages of using predictive analyctics? Explain in 250 words. Say that it improves decision making, making competitive advantage, improves risk management, and others.what is the standardized regression? what do the standardized regression weights or coefficients tell us about the ability of the predictors to predict the dependent variable?What is the recommended sequence of building predictive model ? which answer choice? Model Evaluation > Data Preparation > Model Training > Data Sampling Model Evaluation > Data Preparation > Data Sampling > Model Training Data Sampling > Data Preparation > Model Training > Model Evaluation Data Sampling > Data Preparation > Model > Model Evaluation > Model Training
- A sample of twenty automobiles was taken, and the miles per gallon (MPG), horsepower, and total weight were recorded. Develop a linear regression model to predict MPG using horsepower as the only indepen- dent variable. Develop another model with weight as the independent variable. Which of these two models is better? Explain. MPG 44 44 40 37 37 34 35 32 30 28 26 26 25 22 20 21 18 18 16 16 4 HORSEPOWER 67 50 62 69 66 63 90 99 63 91 94 88 124 97 114 102 114 142 153 139 WEIGHT 1,844 1,998 1,752 1,980 1,797 2,199 2,404 2,611 3,236 2,606 2,580 2,507 2,922 2,434 3,248 2,812 3,382 3,197 4,380 4,036Explain three (3) of the general assumptions of a Regression (Least Squares) model.Which modeling techniques are suitable to build a predictive model ? (Multiple answer may be correct) Group of answer choices Multiple linear regression Classification tree Logistic regression Clustering