a probability of 0.4. what is the optimal course of action using decision tree analysis? Assume discount rate is 12%.

Database System Concepts
7th Edition
ISBN:9780078022159
Author:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Publisher:Abraham Silberschatz Professor, Henry F. Korth, S. Sudarshan
Chapter1: Introduction
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please answer in 30 mins. in details.
The scientist of spectrum have come up with an
electric mop. The firm is ready for pilot production
and test marketing.This will cost tk 20 million and
take six months.
Management believes that there is 70% chance that
the pilot production and test market will be
successful. In case of success, spectrum can build a
plant costing tk 150 million. The plant will generate
an annual cash flow of tk 30 million for 20 years if
demand is high and 20 million if demand is low.
High demand has probability of .6 ; low demand has
a probability of 0.4. what is the optimal course of
action using decision tree analysis? Assume discount
rate is 12%.
Transcribed Image Text:The scientist of spectrum have come up with an electric mop. The firm is ready for pilot production and test marketing.This will cost tk 20 million and take six months. Management believes that there is 70% chance that the pilot production and test market will be successful. In case of success, spectrum can build a plant costing tk 150 million. The plant will generate an annual cash flow of tk 30 million for 20 years if demand is high and 20 million if demand is low. High demand has probability of .6 ; low demand has a probability of 0.4. what is the optimal course of action using decision tree analysis? Assume discount rate is 12%.
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