The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as followsYearMileagea) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).13,10024,00033,45043,850A53,750

Forecasting means predicting the future. Since the future is uncertain, various methods of…

Answered: a) Using a 2-year moving average, the…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 40P: The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels....

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Under what conditions might a firm use multiple forecasting methods?
The Baker Company wants to develop a budget to predict how overhead costs vary with activity levels. Management is trying to decide whether direct labor hours (DLH) or units produced is the better measure of activity for the firm. Monthly data for the preceding 24 months appear in the file P13_40.xlsx. Use regression analysis to determine which measure, DLH or Units (or both), should be used for the budget. How would the regression equation be used to obtain the budget for the firms overhead costs?
At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one of four conditions: 1 = excellent; 2 = good; 3 = average; 4 = bad. The weekly revenue earned by a machine in state 1, 2, 3, or 4 is 100, 90, 50, or 10, respectively. After observing the condition of the machine at the beginning of the week, the company has the option, for a cost of 200, of instantaneously replacing the machine with an excellent machine. The quality of the machine deteriorates over time, as shown in the file P10 41.xlsx. Four maintenance policies are under consideration: Policy 1: Never replace a machine. Policy 2: Immediately replace a bad machine. Policy 3: Immediately replace a bad or average machine. Policy 4: Immediately replace a bad, average, or good machine. Simulate each of these policies for 50 weeks (using at least 250 iterations each) to determine the policy that maximizes expected weekly profit. Assume that the machine at the beginning of week 1 is excellent.
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 1 3,050 2 4,000 3 3,450 4 3,750 5 3,750
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,050 2 4,050 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = number). 3 3,450 4 3,800 5 3,700 miles (round your response to the nearest whole
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,000 2 4,050 3 3,450 4 3,800 5 3,800 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3800 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c)The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (the weight of 0.60 is for the most recent period) = miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).?The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)? d) Using exponential…
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,000 2 4,050 3 3,450 4 3,800 5 3,800 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3800 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 100 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65 (the weight of 0.65 is for the most recent period) = 3800 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65= miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year 1 2 3 4 5 Mileage 3,100 4,000 3,500 3,800 3,700 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 =______miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this =____miles (round your response to onedecimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 (the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period) =________miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55=_____…
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows. Year Mileage a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 116.7 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.35 and 0.65 (the weight of 0.65 is for the most recent period) = miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). 1 3,050 2 3,950 3 3,400 4 3,750 5 3,750 4
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,050 2 3,950 3 3,400 4 3,750 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this 5 3,750 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows Year Mileage 1 3,100 2 4,000 3 3,450 4 3,850 5 3,750 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3800 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 108.3 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (the weight of 0.60 is for the most recent period) = 3790 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number) The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60= 143.3 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data)…
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year 1 2 3 4 5 Mileage 3,000 3,950 3,500 3,750 3,800 Part 2 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 37753775 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). Part 3 b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 7575 miles (round your response to onedecimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) Part 4 c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (the weight of 0.60 is for the most recent period) = 37803780 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). Part 5 The MAD…

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a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6= miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).